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Migration and Resource Misallocation in China

Xiaolu Li, Lin Ma, Yang Tang, Oct 23, 2024

This article discusses how reducing frictions across Chinese provinces could significantly improve aggregate output, lower spatial inequality, and discourage population concentration in large cities.

Integrating Jurisdictions, Dividing Workers: Consolidation, Labor Markets, and the Migrant-Local Wage Gap in China

Shiyu Bo, Yi Wang, Dec 24, 2025

We examine how China’s recent wave of city-county mergers reshaped local labor markets. Using individual-level data from the China Migrants Dynamic Survey and a staggered difference-in-differences approach, we find that the reform boosted wages by strengthening local economies and improving governance...

E vs. G: Environmental Policy and Earnings Management in China

Darwin Choi, Feifei Lai, Mar 12, 2025

We examine the conflict between environmental and governance issues arising from China’s automatic air pollutant monitoring system, introduced in 2012. Our findings suggest that polluting firms engage in downward earnings management to potentially minimize regulatory attention, with factors such as firm size, profitability, and market conditions influencing the extent of this behavior. This study highlights the unintended consequences of environmental policies.

High-Speed Rail and Local Agricultural Development

Xiaoguang Chen, Binlei Gong, Zhilong Qin, Xiaoli Wang, Jan 07, 2026

We study China’s extensive high-speed rail (HSR) expansions to address a key policy concern that large-scale transport infrastructure may undermine agriculture and food security. We find that HSR expansion facilitates the outflow of labor and land from agriculture, yet does not reduce agricultural output because productivity rises.

Banking and Banking Reforms in China in a Model of Costly State Verification

Jie Luo, Cheng Wang, Mar 26, 2025

We present a macro view of China’s financial system, in which a monopolistic banking sector coexists endogenously with bonds and private loans. In equilibrium smaller firms raise finance from private lending, larger firms do so through bank loans, and the largest firms do so by issuing bonds. The model predicts that expanding credit supply increases bank loans but reduces bond finance and private lending, in absolute terms and relative to total credit. In addition, removing the interest rate ceiling on bank lending—a recent reform in China—induces larger loans and higher lending rates, lowering the share of bank loans in total credit. We present empirical evidence to support these predictions.