A Bridge on Economic Issues between China and the World
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Did the US-China Tariff War Affect China’s Economy? Evidence from Night Lights
Davin Chor, Bingjing Li, Dec 08, 2021We infer the impact of the US-China tariff war on China’s economy, using high-frequency satellite data on nighttime luminosity. Through a grid-level panel analysis, we find evidence that the US tariffs levied between 2018–2019 on China’s exports had a negative impact on income per capita and manufacturing employment that was very skewed across locations within China. By contrast, China’s retaliatory tariffs on imports from the United States did not have a discernible impact on economic outcomes at the local level.
Peer Effects, Political Competition, and Ecological Efficiency
Xudong Chen, Bihong Huang, Yantuan Yu, Jul 29, 2020This study examines the impacts of political competition on eco-efficiency. We first develop a theoretical model in which local government officials compete against each other to maximize their own political score. We find that after an initial stage of decline, eco-efficiency eventually increases once environmental performance becomes a meaningful component of local government officials’ annual assessment. These theoretical predictions are corroborated...
Trade Policy Uncertainty and Firm Innovation
Qing Liu, Hong Ma, May 12, 2021This study proposes a novel channel through which trade liberalization may induce innovation through the reduction of trade policy uncertainties (TPU) in destination markets. To verify this link, we utilize the significant reduction of TPU engendered by China's accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001 as a quasi-natural experiment. We find that reduction in TPU significantly encourages firms' patent applications and that firms' innovation responses to TPU reduction vary by productivity, ownership, exporting status, and the irreversibility of investment.
How Do Workers and Households Adjust to Robots?
Osea Giuntella, Yi Lu, Tianyi Wang, Apr 26, 2023We analyze the effects of exposure to industrial robots on labor markets and household behaviors, exploring longitudinal household data from the China Family Panel Studies.
Foreign Business Exposure, Policy Uncertainty, and Capital Flight from Home: Evidence from China
Dongxu Li, Xiaoxue Hu, Sep 22, 2021Using subsidiary-level data of 3,863 Chinese nonfinancial firms from 2000 to 2019, we show that the multinationals have 5.3% higher capital expenditures than the domestic firms relative to the average. The multinational firms’ offshore investment increases with policy uncertainty about the domestic markets. Our analysis suggests that in the face of domestic uncertainty, multinational firms switch to...
