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Trade Policy Uncertainty and Firm Innovation
Qing Liu, Hong Ma, May 12, 2021This study proposes a novel channel through which trade liberalization may induce innovation through the reduction of trade policy uncertainties (TPU) in destination markets. To verify this link, we utilize the significant reduction of TPU engendered by China's accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001 as a quasi-natural experiment. We find that reduction in TPU significantly encourages firms' patent applications and that firms' innovation responses to TPU reduction vary by productivity, ownership, exporting status, and the irreversibility of investment.
Credit Constraints and Fraud Victimization: Evidence from a Representative Chinese Household Survey
Nan Gao, Yuanyuan Ma, Lixin Colin Xu, Jun 09, 2021How and why do household credit constraints affect fraud victimization when households face fraud schemes? Using the urban sample of a novel nationally representative data set on fraud victimization and household finance, we find that households facing credit constraints are associated with a higher probability of becoming fraud victims and suffer from higher economic losses from frauds than households...
Foreign Business Exposure, Policy Uncertainty, and Capital Flight from Home: Evidence from China
Dongxu Li, Xiaoxue Hu, Sep 22, 2021Using subsidiary-level data of 3,863 Chinese nonfinancial firms from 2000 to 2019, we show that the multinationals have 5.3% higher capital expenditures than the domestic firms relative to the average. The multinational firms’ offshore investment increases with policy uncertainty about the domestic markets. Our analysis suggests that in the face of domestic uncertainty, multinational firms switch to...
Outward FDI and Domestic Input Distortions: Evidence from Chinese Firms
Cheng Chen, Wei Tian, Miaojie Yu, Sep 08, 2021A recent study shows that domestic input distortions faced by private firms in China have generated extra incentives for those firms to invest and produce abroad. This finding helps explain an astonishing increase in China’s outward foreign direct investment (FDI) flows since the financial crisis.
Competitive Effects of China’s Listing Suspensions
Frank Packer, Mark M. Spiegel, Oct 28, 2020China’s suspensions of initial public offerings (IPOs) provide a unique opportunity to evaluate the competitive effects of IPO activity on listed firms, as existing studies are challenged by the influence of market conditions on IPO timing. We evaluate the stock returns of listed firms on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges over the three most recent suspensions. We confirm adverse effects on listed firms from IPOs, both from direct competition and from the creation of close asset substitutes. We also find that weaker firms are more exposed to the adverse effects of IPO listings.
