A Bridge on Economic Issues between China and the World
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When History Matters Little: Political Hierarchy and Regional Development in China, AD 1000-2000
Ying Bai, Ruixue Jia, Jan 09, 2019Regime changes in China between AD 1000 and 2000 systematically altered the relative importance of different regions in the political hierarchy of that time. The evolution of Chinese provincial capitals and economic activities during this period throws light on how political factors shape economic geography. Employing a panel dataset...
How Credible Is Hong Kong’s Currency Peg
Urban Jermann, Bin Wei, Vivian Yue, Apr 08, 2026Using daily spot exchange rates and derivatives prices, we estimate a peg-survival probability p and an implied fundamental value of V for HKD under an alternative regime...
The Collateral Channel of Monetary Policy: Evidence from China
Hanming Fang, Yongqin Wang, Xian Wu, May 13, 2020As a quasi-natural experiment to estimate the causal impact of the collateral-based unconventional monetary policy, we exploit the expansion of the collateral for the Medium-Term Lending Facility (MLF) in the interbank bond market on June 1, 2018 by the People’s Bank of China. We also consider that many bonds are dual-listed in a largely segmented exchange market. We find that the policy reduced the spreads of the newly collateralizable, dual-listed bonds in the treatment...
The Reference Effect of Government Bonds on Corporate Borrowing Costs
Mark J. Flannery, Claire Yurong Hong, Baolian Wang, May 29, 2019It has been widely argued that government bonds can be used as a reference point for pricing corporate bonds. This “reference” role can reduce the cost of corporate borrowing. The authors study this question by examining a unique experiment in China. China issued two sovereign bonds denominated in U.S. dollars (USD) in October 2017, the first...
Currency Carry Trade by Trucks: The Curious Case of China’s Massive Imports from Itself
Xuepeng Liu, Heiwai Tang, Zhi Wang, Shang-Jin Wei, Apr 13, 2022Capital controls are common in many developing countries. With capital controls, the standard financial market transactions needed for currency carry trade are hard to implement. Yet, as long as there is a big difference between domestic and foreign interest rates, the incentive to engage in currency carry trade is present.
