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Daily Price Limits and the Magnet Effect
Ting Chen, Zhenyu Gao, Jibao He, Wenxi Jiang, Wei Xiong, Oct 25, 2017We find that the widely adopted daily price limit rules may induce large investors as a group to pursue a destructive trading strategy of pushing stock prices to the upper price limit and then profiting from selling these stocks on the next day. Their trading accelerates the price increase on the day that the upper price limit is reached, thus leading to the so-called Magnet Effect. This unintended effect renders the daily price limits — a market stabilization scheme — counterproductive.
Industry/Policy View The US-China Trade War Is Based on Misleading Statistics
Zhiwei Zhang, Yi Xiong, Xinyu Ji, Jul 11, 2018General Motors and Apple sold more cars and iPhones in China than in the US, but their sales were not counted as US exports to China, as these were made and sold in China. Policymakers should look at both trade and local sales by foreign firms (the FDI channel) to gauge bilateral economic balance. We estimate that US firms sold more goods and services to China than Chinese firms sold to the US in 2017, once the FDI channel is taken into account.
Rising Intergenerational Income Persistence in China
Yi Fan, Junjian Yi, Junsen Zhang, Jul 04, 2018Although studies on economic inequality and intergenerational mobility have gained traction in the last decade, little is known about the temporal changes in the intergenerational association of economic status, especially in developing and transitional economies. We find an increasing pattern in intergenerational income persistence across China’s transitional period. To promote intergenerational mobility, the Chinese government should continue to remove rural-urban migration barriers and initiate various programs to subsidize the education of children from disadvantaged families, known as the “left-behind” children.
Chinese Corporate Credit Ratings: Comparing Global and Domestic Agencies
Xianfeng Jiang, Frank Packer, Dec 06, 2017When comparing the credit ratings of domestic and global agencies on Chinese corporations, because of the differences in ratings scales, it is best to focus on the domestic and global agency orderings of relative credit risk. Testing for differences in the determinants of ratings, we find that asset size is weighed more heavily as a positive factor by domestic agencies, while profitability and state-ownership are weighed more positively by global rating agencies, which also weigh leverage more heavily as a negative factor. In spite of these differences, both domestic and global ratings appear to be priced into the market values of rated bonds.
Anatomy of the CNH-CNY Peg: The Crucial Role of Liquidity Policies
Saleem Bahaj, Ricardo Reis, Jun 26, 2024This article discussing the changes in the exchange rate between the offshore yuan (CNH) and onshore yuan (CNY) help stabilize the CNY-US dollar exchange rate, but they also pose challenges to China's capital controls.
