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The Chinese Saving Rate: Long-Term Care Risks, Family Insurance, and Demographics
Ayşe İmrohoroğlu, Kai Zhao, Sep 13, 2017In this paper, we show that a general equilibrium model that properly captures the risks in old age, the role of family insurance, changes in demographics, and the productivity growth rate is capable of generating changes in the national saving rate in China that mimic the data well. Our findings suggest that the combination of the risks faced by the elderly and the deterioration of family insurance due to the one-child policy may account for approximately half of the increase in the saving rate between 1980 and 2010. We also show that changes in total factor productivity growth account for the fluctuations in the saving rate during this period.
Carry Trade with Chinese Characteristics
Yi Huang, Ugo Panizza, Richard Portes, Jun 13, 2018International borrowing by Chinese nationals has increased rapidly over the past 10 years. Some of this borrowing seems to be motivated by carry trade activities. Regulatory arbitrage may have played a role in this trend.
China’s Growing Presence in Tax Havens: Implications for Policy and Research
Chris Clayton, Antonio Coppola, Amanda Dos Santos, Matteo Maggiori, Jesse Schreger, Jul 12, 2023Chinese firms are increasingly utilizing tax havens like the Cayman Islands, Bermuda, and the British Virgin Islands to raise large sums of capital from foreign investors, accounting for over 60% of total offshore equities by 2020.
The Impact of the China Tire Safeguard
Sunghoon Chung, Joonhyung Lee, Oct 23, 2019This column evaluates the impact of the China tire safeguard on the US tire industry. Contrary to claims made by the US government, we find that total employment and average wages in the tire industry were unaffected by the safeguard. This result is not surprising as we find that Chinese tires have been completely diverted to other exporting countries due to the strong presence of multinational corporations in the world tire market. On the other hand, US domestic tire prices increased by up to 10% during the safeguard period...
Combating Cross-Border Externalities
Shiyi Chen, Joshua Graff-Zivin, Huanhuan Wang, Jiaxin Xiong, Sep 21, 2022China implemented a pioneering policy in 2011, the Ecological Compensation Initiative (ECI), which establishes side payments between upstream and downstream provinces in the Xin’an River Basin.
